Extraordinary Claims Validation System

Validating the Extraordinary

Where rigorous analysis meets claims at the edge of possibility. Using dual-metric validation to separate truth from confidence in extraordinary assertions.

2,847

Claims Analyzed

94.2%

Prediction Accuracy

$47M

Research Costs Saved

1,235

Active Validators

VALIDATING
Energy & Physics

LK-99 Room Temperature Superconductor

A copper-doped lead apatite material exhibits superconductivity at ambient pressure and temperatures up to 127°C.

Truth Value

0.31

Confidence

0.67

PLAUSIBLE
Energy & Physics

E-Cat LENR Device

Low-Energy Nuclear Reactions producing excess heat through nickel-hydrogen fusion at low temperatures.

Truth Value

0.68

Confidence

0.52

VALIDATING
Consciousness

Orchestrated Objective Reduction

Consciousness arises from quantum processes in microtubules within neurons, creating moments of conscious experience.

Truth Value

0.43

Confidence

0.38

PLAUSIBLE
Medical Claims

Metformin Life Extension

The diabetes drug metformin can extend healthy human lifespan by 10-15% through mTOR pathway modulation.

Truth Value

0.74

Confidence

0.61

INVALID
Energy & Physics

Magnetic Motor Generator

Permanent magnet configuration producing continuous rotation and net energy output without external input.

Truth Value

0.02

Confidence

0.98

ANALYZING
Advanced Tech

Metamaterial Gravity Reduction

Engineered metamaterials can create localized spacetime distortions reducing effective mass by manipulating vacuum fluctuations.

Truth Value

0.19

Confidence

0.42

The ABDUCTIO Process

Systematic validation through collective intelligence

Submit Claim

Extraordinary claim with initial evidence and context

Decompose

Break into testable sub-claims and assumptions

Expert Analysis

Domain experts assess with staked credibility

Dual Metrics

Calculate truth value and confidence separately

Live Validation Activity

Sonoluminescence Fusion

Acoustic cavitation achieving fusion conditions

Truth:0.24
Confidence:0.71
Decomposing

Water Memory Effect

Water retains molecular information after dilution

Truth:0.08
Confidence:0.89
Invalid

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